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Government Insights’ crystal ball: More TARP issues, and Gov 2.0 gets redefined

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gilogoPredictions are always difficult — we often have a difficult enough time knowing what’s going on right now that trying to predict what’s going to happen in the future ends up being a humbling experience. (These days, when looking back on the economic crash, in hindsight, everybody is saying, ‘We told you…’ Um — right!) So I’m generally pretty happy to just live in the present where I actually have some control over what I do. That being said, it is fascinating to take a strategic look at the future — where should we be spending our time, energy, efforts and resources.

IDC’s Government Insights are generally very… well, insightful. They just came out with their most recent newsletter and it has their top 10 predictions for 2009.

1. Government will stumble in its new role of managing financial institutions and related “bail-out” programs, which require new skills, training, and technology.
2. Infrastructure programs will move to hosted “pay as you go” models to more cost-competitively deliver government programs.
3. Shared services will hit the tipping point in 2009 due to budget constraints and delivery demands.
4. Cyber attacks will increase and interfere with government financial systems.
5. The U.S. President’s high tech communication style will accelerate an anytime, anywhere communications boom.
6. State budget shortages will force renegotiation of outsourcing contracts.
7. The government talent pool “leak” will slow, but the right talent won’t be in place to meet new demands.
8. Gov 2.0 will be redefined and will not be optional in 2009.
9. Fraud detection will be the insurance policy for increased investment in health and financial programs.
10. Federal spending will flow, but not grow as in recent years. Programs that support economic recovery, citizen health and welfare – with a priority on veterans, and energy management will be the winners.

Read more of Government Insights predictions in their newsletter here.

And I actually wouldn’t have a problem if gov 2.0 gets “redefined.” I think the folks at the National Academy of Public Administration’s Collaboration Project were actually very insightful with their name — in the end, these tools are about collaboration, sharing information, the power of information — shared information, and the theory that all of us are smarter then each of us individually. In the end, it is democracy. (Editor’s note: I actually brainstormed with NAPA about the name of the Collaboration Project, so… )

After the break, more from Government Insights on government 2.0…

One of the interesting predictions they have is on government 2.0 — number eight above. And Government Insights Adelaide O’Brien has written a “perspective” on social networking in government [NOTE: membership required to access the document]… and they talk about how the government of Washington, D.C. and DC CTO Vivek Kundra (a CJD-fav ) has been using many of these tools very effectively:

Federal agencies must recognize the opportunities for cost savings and improved acquisition process efficiency through the use of social networking tools. The depth, extent and “atomic” nature of this Washington, D.C. example may not be appropriate for all government agencies, but each should at least take notice and consider the essential elements of this successful approach. The D.C. example shows that openness can be securely achieved at very low cost to government, and actually improve the availability of strategic and programmatic information to vendors and the public. Transparency can be achieved through live data feeds, postings, and Wikis for Qs and As, allowing for instant communication to all interested participants. Additionally, for a vendor, the public and or press who miss actual meetings, their YouTube videos provide the next best thing to being there.

I’m not exactly sure what the “atomic” nature of it means, but… I think there are lessons to be learned.

Written by cdorobek

January 22, 2009 at 10:35 AM

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